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When: Pakistan v Australia, Semi-Final, November 11, 18:00 Local, 19:30 IST
Where: Dubai International Stadium, Dubai
What to expect: The toss has got a lot of flak during this T20 World Cup, and it's especially been the case in Dubai where only once has the team batting first won. The average total here has been a shabby 122 but the batters have begun to have more of a say as the World Cup has progressed. Dubai has also seen more dew than the other two venues, making a target defence even more challenging. Pakistan did decide to prepare themselves for that eventuality by choosing to bat first in their last two league games. And their experience in successfully bowling second under lights could well be the deciding factor at the end of the day.
T20I Head-to-Head: Pakistan 13 - Australia 9 (3-3 in T20 World Cups)
Team Watch:
Pakistan
Injury/Availability Concerns: There will be a nervous wait for the Pakistani playing XI to be announced in the wake of Mohammad Rizwan and Shoaib Malik missing training on the eve of the match owing to flu symptoms. But they're expected to take their respective places and that should allow Pakistan to stick to their unchanged XI that they've stuck with right through.
Tactics & Matchups: The powerplay has had a powerful impact on proceedings in Dubai and overall Pakistan have played the first six-over period to their strengths, with bat in hand anyway. They've gone at less than run-an-over but only lost two wickets in 30 powerplay overs so far. Babar and Rizwan have preferred laying the foundation to either accelerate themselves or set it up for their aggressive middle-order. And it's been proven by their standing as the most destructive team of the tournament in the death overs.
Australia will pose a dual threat though with the ball. Josh Hazlewood has been a key wicket-taker for his team with the new-ball while Adam Zampa has been the best spinner on show. There is some talk of using Fakhar Zaman to be held back for the leg-spinner if the openers do fail to put on a stand like they have consistently so far.
Pakistan will rely heavily on Shaheen Shah Afridi and Imad Wasim to break Australia's opening partnership and win the powerplay with the ball, considering how the middle-order has blown hot and cold so far.
Probable XI: Mohammad Rizwan (wk), Babar Azam (c), Fakhar Zaman, Mohammad Hafeez, Shoaib Malik, Asif Ali, Imad Wasim, Shadab Khan, Hasan Ali, Haris Rauf, Shaheen Shah Afridi
Australia
Injury/Availability Concerns: Australia to their credit have stuck their one specialist spinner strategy and have so far got away with using a mix of Mitch Marsh, Marcus Stoinis and Glenn Maxwell for their fifth bowling quota. And despite Ashton Agar's impressive record against Pakistan, he's likely to miss out.
Tactics & Matchups: Australia have come hard with bat and ball at the start, and they'll stick to it against a Pakistan team who, save Afghanistan, haven't had to contend with an aggressive approach of that kind. The game could well be decided by the two explosive left-arm fast bowlers on either side, if Afridi or Starc can knock a few over early in their spells. Having said that, Haris Rauf, who really came to the limelight during his time in Australia, could be the x-factor threat that the Aussies will have to negate, alongside the wily Shadab Khan, to make sure the middle-overs go their way. And the man touted to do that is Maxwell, who's yet to fire. Many have picked him to be the Hussey from 2010, and if he does come off, Australia might well he headed for their second T20 World Cup final.
Probable XI: David Warner, Aaron Finch (c), Mitchell Marsh, Steve Smith, Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis, Matthew Wade (wk), Pat Cummins, Mitchell Starc, Adam Zampa, Josh Hazlewood.
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